Countrywide Financial tapped into an $11.5 billion line of credit Thursday to "weather the storm" and address its looming liquidity crunch. Countrywide Financial is the #1 writer of mortgage loans in the United States.
During the period that Countrywide was securing it's $11.5 billion in financing the Chairman and CEO, Angelo Mozilo, cashed out 672,000 shares of the company he owned netting him just under $13 million. Mozilo still owns almost 500,000 shares of the company directly, and has about 850,000 shares held in trust or his 401(k).
Investors have begun to refuse to buy many loans that are less than "prime". These include the Alt-A loans, which I've written about here, as well as the subprime loans. With Countrywide and other companies unable to sell these loans they have to keep them in-house. This increases their risk if the borrower defaults. Every default will now come stricky from their bottom line. They can't help but make sure they cross all their t's and dot all their i's when making loans to those who are riskier. This will directly affect anyone trying to get a loan from Countrywide.
I've written in the past what I think is happening to the housing market and the ability of the average Joe to get financing for his house. I believe this further proves the point. The ultimate ones who will lose out because of this is the average Joe/Jane. They will lose on multiple fronts.
The cascading affect of this will be less people to buy homes. With less people buying homes, those homes that are on the market will sit longer. Those people who have to move for any particualr reason will have to lower their price if they want to sell quickly. This will in turn cause others to lower their prices. It's a cascading effect that will casue a correction in the market.
Another place to lose is the investor market. Those that had money invested in Countrywide wither directly by owning stock or having a mutual fund that owns their stock has seen the invidual stock price go from $35.14 one month ago to hitting a low of $15.00 today. Any stock losing more then half it's value in a month can hit the average person hard, especially if they bought high.
Countrywide is a company that has diversified itself among the competition. They have separated many parts of their business into separate comapnies and have leveraged the selling of security backed loans as a way to protect themselves. Will they survive this mess? I believe they will. Will they take a hard hit? I believe they will. Will I be buying their stock? Eventually. I think that it will hit around $11 or $12 as a low then start to rise. If it hits that low I will be buying.
How will this affect those who have rental properties? As I stated before, I hope everyone lined their financing up previously for the future. There will be a lot of people losing their homes. I may sound like a vulture, but I am not hoping for this to happen. I believe it will just be a fact. Too many people got in over their heads and the correction will cause them to lose their homes. With this will come a great deal of short sales and foreclosures. Those that have their financing lined up can use this to get ahead. Market corrections for rents are already happening. Here in Philadelphia rents have risen and applicants are aplenty.
web log for us – those that see the calm before the storm as a time to plan for it's coming
10/30/07 EDIT: 5 days ago Countrywide hit it's 52 week low of 12.07. Today, 5 days later, it has jumped back up to $16.31. I guess I wasn't the only one that had an eye out for the $12.00 mark to start buying this stock up.